Introduction
PART I Middle East Strategic Assessment
CHAPTER 1
The Middle East: Still on the Brink of a New Era / Mark A.
Heller
External Penetration and Pressure for Change
Regional Ramifications
Future Directions
CHAPTER 2
The Ongoing Iraqi Crisis / Ephraim Kam
The Role of the United States
Reconstruction
Economic Rehabilitation
The Security Situation
Building the Regime and the State: Future Challenges
CHAPTER 3
Israel and the Palestinians: A New Reality under the Shadow
of Ongoing Conflict / Shlomo Brom
The Decline of the Armed Intifada
Separation and Disengagement
The Post-Arafat Era
Third Parties and their Influence on Israeli-Palestinian Relations
Post-Disengagement
CHAPTER 4
Approaching a Nuclear Iran: The Challenge for Arms Control
/ Emily B. Landau
Confronting Iran: The Arms Control Dimension
The Diplomatic Route: The EU-3 and the US
Deterrence: A Basis for New Rules of the Game?
The Possibility of Stable Deterrence
CHAPTER 5
International Terror, with Iraq at its Hub / Yoram Schweitzer
The Iraqi Arena
Terrorism outside Iraq
The Ongoing War on Terror
CHAPTER 6
Rising Oil Prices and the Middle East Economy / Paul Rivlin
The Rise in Oil Prices
Higher Oil Revenues
Higher Oil Prices and State Economies
The Strategic Dimensions of High Oil Prices
Chronology of Major Events, July 2004–June 2005
PART II Military Forces
Introductory Note 103
Review of Armed Forces
1. Algeria
2. Bahrain
3. Egypt
4. Iran
5. Iraq
6. Israel
7. Jordan
8. Kuwait
9. Lebanon
10. Libya
11. Morocco
12. Oman
13. Palestinian Authority
14. Qatar
15. Saudi Arabia
16. Sudan
17. Syria
18. Tunisia
19. Turkey
20. United Arab Emirates
21. Yemen
The Middle East Military Balance at a Glance
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Space Assets
Charts
The Eastern Mediterranean Military Forces
The Persian Gulf Military Forces
The North African Military Forces
Contributors
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“ Middle East Strategic Balance is a ‘must read’ for any scholar interested in an assessment of the distribution of military power in the Middle East.” Dr Geoffrey Kemp, Nixon Center Washington
“Middle East Strategic Balance offers readers a comprehensive, insightful assessment of the complex and dynamic Middle East strategic environment.” Ambassador Samuel Lewis
“The Jaffee Center’s Middle East Strategic Balance is an indispensable resource for all who deal with the Middle East or with its role in global politics.” Professor Graham Alison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University
“ An informative collection of articles and military data
authored and collected by experts at the Jaffee Center for Strategic
Studies (JCSS). This book is rich with useful data, demonstrates
the security of Israel, and the close coordination of U.S. and
Israeli strategic policies.” American Reference Books
Annual 39th Volume 2008
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